It’s time to discuss the elephant in the room…

Tariffs. 

From North America to Asia, new trade policies are being implemented that affect virtually every product, service, and business model.

But here’s the thing – at Online Marketing Classroom, we don’t follow politics closely or take sides. Full stop.

What do we do? We help keep you prepared for WHATEVER might come your way.

We adjust our businesses based on economic realities. 

Our focus isn’t on debating policies but on helping you navigate whatever economic landscape exists to build a thriving online business.

So with that said, I want to discuss the last time we saw ourselves in this situation…

Turning Economic Chaos into Your Competitive Advantage

Unfortunately, I’ve been through multiple economic downturns in my online business career. 

During the 2008 global recession, many entrepreneurs panicked and pulled back their operations. Instead, I doubled down on providing value and addressing the specific needs that emerged during that challenging time. 

The result? 

My business not only survived but thrived.

The same thing happened during the 2020 pandemic and subsequent downturn. 

While many businesses were retreating, I recognized that shifts in consumer behavior created new opportunities. By staying nimble and responsive, we were able to adapt our offerings and actually grow during a time when many were simply trying to stay afloat.

I don’t share this to sound arrogant, but to emphasize an important truth: economic uncertainty doesn’t have to mean business decline. 

With the right mindset and strategies, you can position yourself to weather any storm and potentially emerge stronger than before.

Before we jump into what this all means for your BUSINESS, it’s critical that we take a step back and analyze what this means for your CUSTOMERS

The Psychology of Spending in Uncertain Times: What Your Customers Really Want

According to recent research from Numerator, 80% of consumers express concern about how tariffs will affect their personal finances and shopping behaviors. 

Nearly two-thirds (64%) worry specifically about higher prices on everyday goods.

This anxiety translates into behavioral changes. 

Numerator’s survey found that 76% of shoppers anticipate making changes to their finances or shopping behaviors in response to economic pressures. 

The most common adaptations include:

  1. Increased focus on sales, discounts, and coupons (41%)
  2. Buying fewer imported goods (30%)
  3. Switching to domestically-made alternatives (26%)

Plus, consumers become more deliberate and research-driven in their purchasing decisions during economic uncertainty. 

They’re less likely to make impulse purchases and more likely to compare options extensively before committing.

Brand loyalty also undergoes shifts. 

While some consumers cling more tightly to trusted brands during uncertainty, others become more willing to experiment with alternatives if they perceive better value. 

This creates both challenges and opportunities for businesses across the spectrum.

Okay, so what’s next?

Figuring out EXACTLY what this all means for YOUR business. 

The E-commerce Outlook: How Product Sellers Can Stay on Solid Ground

If you’re selling physical products online, tariffs pose a direct challenge to your bottom line.

Tariffs effectively raise the cost of goods coming from affected countries. These increased costs typically get passed along the supply chain until they ultimately reach the end consumer.

For example, if you’re importing products from countries facing new tariffs, you may see your product costs increase by 10-25% virtually overnight

So reviewing your pricing strategy is a must.

Beyond direct costs, tariffs can significantly disrupt supply chains. 

We’re already seeing… 

  • Delays at ports, 
  • Increased documentation requirements, 
  • And logistics providers struggling to adapt to the new requirements. 

These disruptions can lead to inventory shortages, shipping delays, and unhappy customers.

Additionally, tariffs tend to impact consumer behavior, particularly for non-essential items. As prices increase across various sectors, consumers become more selective about their purchases, which might lead to reduced sales volume for certain product categories.

So how can we address this?

Here’s a start…

1. Diversify Your Supply Chain

The days of relying on a single supplier or manufacturing region are over. In today’s volatile trade environment, diversification isn’t just smart—it’s essential for business continuity.

One of the most effective ways to mitigate tariff impact is to develop relationships with suppliers across multiple countries. 

This strategy reduces your exposure to tariffs targeting specific regions while creating competitive leverage in negotiations.

Consider exploring domestic suppliers who are often exempt from tariffs, manufacturers in countries with favorable trade agreements, or alternative production hubs in regions less affected by current trade tensions. While this approach requires more management overhead, the stability it provides to your business operations more than compensates for the additional effort.

2. Optimize Inventory Management

When product costs and consumer behavior are both in flux, inventory management becomes a high-stakes balancing act. The old methods of forecasting based on historical data may no longer apply in this new economic reality.

Smart e-commerce operators are implementing just-in-time inventory practices where feasible to reduce capital tied up in stock. They’re also using advanced data analytics to forecast demand more accurately in these unpredictable times.

The most successful businesses are taking a 2-step approach: 

  1. Building buffer stock of high-margin essential products that will always sell 
  2. While simultaneously reducing inventory of non-essential or low-margin items that might sit on shelves if consumer spending tightens. 

This balanced strategy minimizes both stockout risks and excess inventory costs.

3. Refine Your Pricing Strategy

When faced with rising costs, many businesses make the mistake of implementing blanket price increases. This approach fails to account for the complex psychology of consumer value perception during economic uncertainty.

A more sophisticated approach involves segmenting your product catalog based on price sensitivity. Consider absorbing some costs on high-volume essential items that create customer loyalty while selectively increasing prices on premium or unique products where customers are less price-sensitive.

Many successful e-commerce businesses are also experimenting with product bundling to create more compelling value propositions. 

By combining complementary products, you can maintain healthy margins while still delivering perceived value to increasingly cost-conscious customers.

4. Enhance Value Beyond Price

When economic pressures make price competition more challenging, smart businesses shift the competition to areas where they can excel without sacrificing margins.

Exceptional customer service becomes an even more powerful differentiator during uncertain times. 

Customers remember businesses that went the extra mile when they were struggling. 

Extended warranties or guarantees provide peace of mind that’s particularly valuable during economic uncertainty.

Consider developing educational content that enhances the product experience, helping customers maximize the value of their purchases. Community-building around your products can also create emotional connections that transcend price considerations, fostering loyalty that persists through economic cycles.

Affiliate Marketing in the Tariff Era: New Problems, Bigger Opportunities

Affiliate marketers face a different set of challenges and opportunities. As product costs rise, merchants may adjust their affiliate commission structures to maintain their own margins. This could mean lower commission rates or stricter promotion rules.

However, economic uncertainty also creates opportunities for savvy affiliate marketers. Consumer buying patterns typically shift during these periods, with greater emphasis on:

  • Value-oriented products
  • Essential items
  • Cost-saving solutions
  • Alternative or substitute products

Affiliates who can quickly pivot to promoting products that align with these shifting consumer priorities stand to maintain or even grow their income during uncertain times.

Overcoming these challenges? 

Here’s our take…

1. Focus on Recession-Resistant Categories

Economic uncertainty doesn’t affect all product categories equally. 

While luxury and non-essential purchases often decline, other sectors remain stable or even grow during downturns.

The most adaptable affiliate marketers are rapidly shifting their promotional efforts toward categories that historically perform well even during economic challenges. 

These include… 

  • Essential household goods that people need regardless of economic conditions
  • Budget-friendly alternatives to expensive products that allow consumers to maintain their lifestyle at lower cost points.
  • DIY and self-improvement products tend to surge during downturns as people look to develop new skills or handle tasks themselves rather than paying for services. 
  • Cost-saving solutions and at-home entertainment options also typically see increased demand when consumers become more budget-conscious.

By realigning your promotion strategy around these recession-resistant categories, you can maintain or even grow your commission income while other affiliates struggle with declining conversions.

2. Adjust Your Content Strategy

The content that resonates during economic prosperity often falls flat during periods of uncertainty. 

Consumers’ information needs fundamentally change as their financial priorities shift.

Forward-thinking affiliate marketers are developing comparison guides that emphasize value for money rather than just highlighting premium features. 

They’re creating detailed reviews focusing on durability and long-term value to appeal to consumers making fewer, more carefully considered purchases.

“Best budget options” or “affordable alternatives” content performs exceptionally well as consumers seek ways to maintain their lifestyle with reduced spending. Tutorials on maximizing product lifespan also gain traction as consumers look to extend the value of their purchases.

This strategic content pivot aligns your affiliate business with your audience’s evolving needs, positioning you as a trusted advisor during challenging times rather than just another marketer pushing products.

3. Diversify Affiliate Partnerships

Relying too heavily on affiliate programs from a single region or industry creates unnecessary vulnerability during economic shifts. 

Tariffs and trade policies often target specific countries or sectors, making diversification essential for stable commission income.

Smart affiliate marketers are developing relationships with merchants across different geographic areas to hedge against region-specific economic challenges. They’re balancing their portfolio across essential and non-essential categories to ensure revenue stability regardless of consumer spending shifts.

Many are also exploring programs with subscription or recurring commission models that provide more predictable income during uncertain times. 

Programs that offer higher-than-average commission rates can also help offset potential volume declines in some categories.

4. Build Audience Trust Through Transparency

During economic uncertainty, consumers become more skeptical and deliberate in their purchasing decisions. 

Generic or overly promotional content becomes less effective as audiences seek genuine guidance from trusted sources.

Successful affiliate marketers are differentiating themselves through radical transparency about price changes and alternatives. They’re proactively discussing how tariffs might affect recommended products and providing genuine value through their recommendations.

This approach prioritizes long-term audience relationships over short-term commissions, recognizing that trust built during challenging times creates loyalty that will pay dividends for years to come. By positioning yourself as an honest advisor rather than just a promoter, you create a sustainable affiliate business that can weather any economic climate.

Content Creator Gold Rush: Why Economic Uncertainty Can Boost Your Influence

Content creators and bloggers who rely on advertising revenue may notice shifts in ad spending as companies reallocate budgets. 

According to recent research from the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB), 60% of advertisers expect a 6-10% decline in ad budgets due to tariff-related pressures.

However, this challenge also presents an opportunity

During economic uncertainty, consumers seek out trusted sources of information more than ever. Content that addresses their concerns, helps them navigate challenges, or provides practical value tends to perform exceptionally well during these periods.

For bloggers specifically, creating content around “doing more with less,” finding alternatives to expensive products, or maximizing value can attract engaged audiences and open up new monetization opportunities.

And of course, here are the steps we’re taking to overcome these challenges…

1. Create Content That Addresses Economic Concerns

When economic uncertainty dominates headlines, your audience’s attention naturally gravitates toward content that helps them navigate these challenges. 

This presents a unique opportunity to provide exceptional value while growing your audience.

The most successful content creators are developing comprehensive guides around budget-friendly solutions that help their audience maintain quality of life with reduced spending. 

They’re creating step-by-step DIY alternatives to expensive products or services that empower their audience to solve problems independently.

Content focused on maximizing value from purchases resonates strongly during economic uncertainty, as does guidance on financial resilience and planning. By addressing these pressing concerns, you not only provide immediate value but also position yourself as a trusted resource whose relevance extends beyond the current economic cycle.

2. Diversify Revenue Streams

Relying exclusively on advertising revenue creates unnecessary vulnerability during economic uncertainty. As marketing budgets tighten, ad rates often decline, directly impacting content creators’ income.

Forward-thinking creators are proactively developing alternative monetization strategies to insulate their businesses from these fluctuations. 

Digital products like… 

  • ebooks, 
  • courses, 
  • and templates 

All provide value to audiences while creating revenue streams independent of advertising market conditions.

Membership programs with exclusive content offer predictable recurring revenue while deepening relationships with your most engaged followers. Consulting or coaching services leverage your expertise to generate premium income unaffected by advertising rates.

Sponsored content partnerships with brands committed to marketing through downturns can also provide stable revenue, especially when you can demonstrate your audience’s continued engagement despite economic challenges.

3. Build Community and Loyalty

During economic uncertainty, people seek connection and support from like-minded communities. Content creators who facilitate these connections create value that transcends their specific topic area.

Interactive content formats like webinars and Q&A sessions foster deeper engagement while providing real-time insights into your audience’s evolving needs. Dedicated community spaces such as forums or social media groups create environments where your audience can support each other while strengthening their connection to your brand.

Offering additional value to email subscribers encourages list growth during a period when many creators see declining engagement. 

Personal responses to comments and questions demonstrate genuine care for your audience during challenging times, fostering loyalty that persists long after economic conditions improve.

4. Strategic Collaborations

Economic uncertainty creates natural incentives for creators to combine resources and audiences through strategic partnerships. These collaborations can expand your reach while minimizing individual risk.

Consider co-creating content addressing shared audience concerns with complementary creators in your space. Guest post exchanges introduce you to new audiences looking for trusted guidance during uncertain times.

Joint products or services allow you to leverage complementary skills while sharing development and marketing costs. Regular mastermind sessions with fellow creators facilitate the sharing of insights about adapting to economic changes, helping everyone navigate challenges more effectively.

Conclusion: Thriving in the New Economic Reality

Economic uncertainty, including the current wave of tariff changes, undoubtedly creates challenges for online businesses. 

However, as I’ve experienced firsthand through multiple economic cycles, these periods also create unprecedented opportunities for businesses that adapt effectively.

By understanding how these changes impact your specific business model, anticipating shifts in consumer behavior, and implementing strategic adaptations, you can position your business not just to survive but to thrive during these uncertain times.

Remember that the most successful businesses aren’t necessarily the strongest or the biggest – they’re the most adaptable

Stay nimble, stay responsive, and view these challenges as opportunities to innovate and differentiate your business.

Have you already noticed the impact of tariffs on your business? What strategies are you implementing to adapt? Share your experiences in the comments below!

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